Issac Evacuations Posted for Mobile and Baldwin County

Heads Up

http://www.local15tv.com/news/custom...xekknXDIQ.cspx

Quote:

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Governor Bentley is also ordering a mandatory evacuation beginning at 8:00 Monday morning for Zones 1 and 2 in both Mobile and Baldwin Counties.

In Baldwin County: Zones 1 and 2 include all areas south of U.S. Highway 98 and areas on the Eastern Shore of Mobile Bay that are South of Interstate 10 and west of U.S. Highway 98. Additionally, all people living in proximity to the Fish, Styx, Blackwater, and Perdido Rivers should evacuate. Also, all people living in manufactured homes, and those living in low-lying, flood-prone areas should evacuate.

In Mobile County: Zones 1 and 2 include areas south of Interstate 10 and those areas that are north of I-10 and east of I-65 and east of U.S. 43. Also, all people living in manufactured homes, and those living in low-lying, flood-prone areas should evacuate.

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Dang looks like I'm getting kicked off the island. Hope they let me get back to the house before too awful long. Guess I'll be in evac mode all night.

Theyre chomping down on this one...Selling alot of plywood and gas...Boosting the economy.

[size=12pt]I ain't leaving at 8AM, that's too damn early![/size]

Yeah we're still waiting a little while too tomorrow just depending on how things are looking. Just got to wait and see. Tomorrow will be the last minute, pack and see. Think we're headed east if we got to go. We don't really have anywhere to go though, so who knows. Its going to be fun finding a place.

We aren't leaving, it keeps moving further West.
All we're going to see at this point is strong Tropical Storm force wind and rain.

They don't actually force you to leave do they.

y'all stay safe down there.

I sure hope Sandman posts what he posted on facebook this morning in this thread.

[quote author=Bubba link=topic=1915.msg18023#msg18023 date=1346024653]
Heads Up

http://www.local15tv.com/news/custom...xekknXDIQ.cspx

Quote:

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Governor Bentley is also ordering a mandatory evacuation beginning at 8:00 Monday morning for Zones 1 and 2 in both Mobile and Baldwin Counties.

In Baldwin County: Zones 1 and 2 include all areas south of U.S. Highway 98 and areas on the Eastern Shore of Mobile Bay that are South of Interstate 10 and west of U.S. Highway 98. Additionally, all people living in proximity to the Fish, Styx, Blackwater, and Perdido Rivers should evacuate. Also, all people living in manufactured homes, and those living in low-lying, flood-prone areas should evacuate.

In Mobile County: Zones 1 and 2 include areas south of Interstate 10 and those areas that are north of I-10 and east of I-65 and east of U.S. 43. Also, all people living in manufactured homes, and those living in low-lying, flood-prone areas should evacuate.

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[/quote]

Same sorta knee-jerk over-reaction we saw from Riley before Hurricane Dennis. Everyone south of I-10 in Mobile County needing to leave is beyond reason.

;) :D
Right Carl, Gov Riley did the same thing with 'Denis'.
Better safe than sorry I guess. :-\
Thank You Lord, the storm is now not expected to be as close or as strong.
Hope the forecasts are right this time ;-)

Still we are expected to get HUGE waves from the storm (hurricane?) ???
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Foreca...US54.KMOB.html

Quote:

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TONIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FEET BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET AFTER
MIDNIGHT. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. EAST WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS INCREASING TO 40 TO
50 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 59 KNOTS. SEAS 13 TO 18 FEET
BUILDING TO 19 TO 25 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. BAYS AND COASTAL
WATERWAYS VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 55 KNOTS. SEAS 18 TO 24 FEET SUBSIDING TO 16 TO 22 FEET AFTER
MIDNIGHT. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

WEDNESDAY
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SOUTH WINDS 35 TO
45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 KNOTS. SEAS 15 TO 21 FEET SUBSIDING
TO 14 TO 19 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS VERY
ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

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And the NWS HPC (Hydrometeorological Prediction Center) sez rainfall potential is near 'biblical' in proportion for some locations :o

Quote:

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Flooding may become a big issue with this system!

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[img width=480 height=384]http://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn1/s480x480/531050_392655534134867_344384203_n.jpg[/img]

Stay safe everybody! :headbang:

^^^ That is one confusing graph! Why are there similar blues and greens for lightest and heaviest? Did they run out of colors?

Yes.
As in a 'bulls eye' color ranges are repeated in scientific graphics to show a wide range of variablity that exceeds the standard single range of contrasting colors.

Hope this helps!

[quote author=Pier#r link=topic=1915.msg18062#msg18062 date=1346075187]
Yes.
As in a 'bulls eye' color ranges are repeated in scientific graphics to show a wide range of variablity that exceeds the standard single range of contrasting colors.

Hope this helps!
[/quote]

Yup, that clears things up. I now know to expect anywhere from .50 of rain to 12.00 of rain.

[quote author=ChileRelleno link=topic=1915.msg18044#msg18044 date=1346060937]
We aren't leaving, it keeps moving further West.
All we're going to see at this point is strong Tropical Storm force wind and rain.
[/quote]

I agree...Just gonna wait and see...It wouldnt take me 5 minutes to get across the bridge if it turned this way.

[size=12pt][font=comic sans ms]Hopefully it will go way to the west as they are predicting, keyword is “predicting”.
However, I have seen too many of these things run up and down the coast in defiance of the predictions.
Relaxing a little, but staying tuned in.

Went to Dauphin Island this morning to set up storm surge monitoring equipment. It did not look like too many people there were worried about the storm. Only a few houses are boarded up and most people I talked to said they were staying. Good luck to those staying. On my way out I saw the county setting up road blocks for south bound traffic at the intersection of 193 and 188.

I think the main problem with people not taking this storm seriously is because it is a tropical storm right now. As much as you may not trust the models, they are the best information we have. Every model I have seen is predicting this thing to become a hurricane and once it does it could be too late to evacuate. Also, just because we are not in the "cone of death" does not mean we are out of danger. Current data is showing tropical storm force winds as far as 200 miles from the center. High winds coupled with "biblical" rainfall predictions is a recipe for disaster.

If you are planning to ride the storm out make sure you think about the worst case scenario and if you are capable of dealing with it ON YOUR OWN no one is going to come help you if you are in a mandatory evacuation zone.

Roger that Dick!

It looks like this time Tuesday the gales could be lashing the Alabama coastal waters :o
[img width=720 height=539]http://www.oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Mexico/marineM00.gif[/img]

I guess the timing of the storm's approach to the coast makes the am astronomical high tide even more critical.
That incoming tide can add several feet to the height of peak waves along the coast. ???

[size=12pt][font=comic sans ms]Well, no sightseeing for non-residents!
“In an effort to allow time for residents to make necessary preparations to evacuate, the City of Gulf Shores will not restrict re-entry onto the island until a time to be determined. At that time, re-entry will first be restricted to all non-residents and residents residing north of the Intracoastal Waterway”

http://myemail.constantcontact.com/P...id=-1REm-9UaHE

Stay safe everyone!
God Bless!
Toby

[quote author=Bubba link=topic=1915.msg18063#msg18063 date=1346075377]

Yup, that clears things up. I now know to expect anywhere from .50 of rain to 12.00 of rain.
[/quote]

LOL!

Is this any better? Predicted rainfall totals thru Saturday...
[img width=720 height=576]http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/Isaac_rainfall.gif[/img]

:o

Oh chit, looks like we gon git pee colored rain >:(

[size=12pt][font=comic sans ms] Here is some more road closure info:
http://myemail.constantcontact.com/P...id=13Lp1MkdDBs

I think that rainfall total just dropped seeing as to how the storm has alot of dry air feeding into it.

In the past hour we've just had the first 'feeder band' move through Midtown Mobile with more than 1/2".

[img width=480 height=329]http://i1102.photobucket.com/albums/g446/finchaser1/Silly%20Stuff/GONRAIN.jpg[/img]

Gov. Lifts evacs

Bankhead Tunnel into Mobile closed at noon today (as a precaution to possible flooding tonight).
The water level seems to have peaked for now (@ 2'-3' above 'normal high tide).
It may even receed some this afternoon, but the next incoming astronomical tide should begin around dark tonite which would likely bring the worst of the flooding.

From north to south...
Chickasaw Creek @ Mobile River
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8737138_wl_24.png[/img]

Alabama State Docks (just north of the Mobile Convention Center)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8737048_wl_24.png[/img]

CG Station Mobile (@ Brookley)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8736897_wl_24.png[/img]

Dog River Bridge (@ Mobile Bay)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8735391_wl_24.png[/img]

East Fowl River Bridge (@ Mobile Bay)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8735523_wl_24.png[/img]

West Fowl River Bridge (@ Portersville Bay, Mississippi Sound)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8738043_wl_24.png[/img]

Bayou La Batre Bridge (@ Hwy 188)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8739803_wl_24.png[/img]

East End Dauphin Island (@Ft Gaines Pier)
[img width=350 height=270]http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports/plots/8735180_wl_24.png[/img]

Perdido Pass (operated by USACOE)
http://amazon.nws.noaa.gov/nexhads2/...amp;pe_code=HM