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51LikesThread: Watching the tropics
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08-28-2016, 07:26 PM #51We are there! Let's go fishing!!
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From Sunday 4pm NWS MOB Forecast Discussion:
Monday night Through Wednesday night/...Tropical
Depression Nine is forecast to strengthen into a tropical storm byMonday evening over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and continue aslow moving track to the west-northwest. The tropical storm is thenforecast to turn to a northerly direction Tuesday afternoon, and thenpossibly to a northeasterly direction Wednesday afternoon. ByWednesday night the system is forecast to enter into the northeasternGulf of Mexico, but this track will likley be adjusted with issuanceof each advisory. Immediate impacts from the system across theforecast area will be an increase in rip currents along the areabeaches as longer period swells generated from the system reach the northern gulf coast as early as Monday night.
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08-29-2016, 08:56 AM #52Senior Member
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Almost time to panic.
This track could easily shift west, all it would take would be a delay in the course change:
Carl
Life is too short to drink bad beer.
Disclaimer: This post and/or report is not a substantiation of or reflection on the true accuracy of the present stock assessment methods. It is only an anecdotal report on or comment concerning local observations. Your results may vary.
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08-29-2016, 09:48 AM #53Senior Member
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I think it's a matter of the forward (westward) speed of TD9. The faster it moves the more westward it is when it runs into the front and gets swept NE. This should resolve itself pretty soon.
Originally Posted by CarlF
Almost time to panic.
This track could easily shift west, all it would take would be a delay in the course change:
People are shocked to see sharks in the water around here.
If you see natural water taste it. If it's salty it has sharks in it. If it's fresh it has alligators in it. If it's brackish it has both.
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08-29-2016, 11:40 AM #54We are there! Let's go fishing!!
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With the projected scenario we (along the Alabama coast) should be on the 'dry' side of the storm and only receive larger than normal swells Wed-Thur.
How big remains to be seen, but is problematic to the track and strength.
Right now the forecast is only for 4 to 5 feet...
National Weather Service
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08-29-2016, 01:18 PM #55Senior Member
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There is ZERO to panic about from this.
Ragnar Benson:
Never, under any circumstances, ever become a refugee.
Die if you must, but die on your home turf with your face to the wind, not in some stinking hellhole 2,000 kilometers away, among people you neither know nor care about.
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08-30-2016, 10:50 AM #56Senior Member
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Ah, come on, not even a little bit of panic???
Carl
Life is too short to drink bad beer.
Disclaimer: This post and/or report is not a substantiation of or reflection on the true accuracy of the present stock assessment methods. It is only an anecdotal report on or comment concerning local observations. Your results may vary.
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08-30-2016, 11:15 AM #57We are there! Let's go fishing!!
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Here is the mandatory OMGs and ONOZs for those who watch the Weather Channel or CNN...
;-) lol
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08-30-2016, 02:40 PM #58Old Fart
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08-31-2016, 02:32 PM #59Senior Member
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Now Tropical Storm Hermine:
Carl
Life is too short to drink bad beer.
Disclaimer: This post and/or report is not a substantiation of or reflection on the true accuracy of the present stock assessment methods. It is only an anecdotal report on or comment concerning local observations. Your results may vary.
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09-01-2016, 03:37 PM #60Senior Member
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Everybody say hello to Hurricane Hermine!
Some of those folks in the Big Bend might have cause to panic... Maybe just little.Ragnar Benson:
Never, under any circumstances, ever become a refugee.
Die if you must, but die on your home turf with your face to the wind, not in some stinking hellhole 2,000 kilometers away, among people you neither know nor care about.
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